Newsletter
Navigating Moral Terrain: the ETHIC Stack and other things
July 11, 2025
Hello,
Here’s everything since my last little missive to you:
This week I sent a draft paper out for review. It’s a rather longwinded sketch of how I think we could approach ethics. It’s 45 pages or so long, but it was a lot of fun to write. I suspect most people will not want quite that level of detail though, so I made an AI podcast and a semi-AI explainer. People seem to quite like the AI summary stuff. You can find it all here.
However, the whole experience has made me realise that I’ve been pretty annoyed this last year. Since June, I’ve written an article a week, and most of them are shit.
I used to write an article a month, and I used to write them basically just for me—working an idea out for myself—and so it’s no surprise that I usually quite liked those articles.
But many people reasonably complained that they were impenetrable and infrequent. So I committed to an article a week instead, and I’d try to bridge the gap—try to write articles that were a little for me and a little for everyone else.
The result is that, for the most part, they do neither. Lots of strange fragmentary ‘series’ style posts, and unfinished and incomplete thinking. All useless to me, but also not very penetrable to others.
Then I wrote this 45-page paper, and I was obsessed with it. And I love it. And I don’t care that no one will read it.
So I’m going back to that, I think. Writing articles that are me being thoughtful for me. BUT. I will look to producing new forms of content for others, because I like teaching too. Rather than do two things badly, I will do both things well.
Navigating Moral Terrain: the ETHIC Stack
Excerpt: I wrote a series of papers on practical ethics. I didn’t really like those articles. But I was inspired to write a 45-page treatise on the behavioural science of ethical behaviour. There’s no way you’re going to want to read that, so I made this instead. An AI generated podcast, and a short little explainer. If you like how the water looks, I assure you, it’s plenty deep.
Main idea: I describe five levels that help understand how good people do bad things—neural, cognitive, situational, social, and cultural. Inject some norms into the stack, and you can explain (and predict) moral behaviour.
Against McAskillian Longtermism:
Whatever is wrong with utilitarians who advocate the murder of a million for a 0.0001 percent reduction in the risk of human extinction, it isn’t a lack of computational power. Morality isn’t made by us—we can’t just decide on the moral truth—but it’s made for us: it rests on our common humanity
See also anti-consequentialism, and anti-utilitarian economics.
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Ethical astrology:
Astrological forecasting tends to describe the future more thematically or archetypically than concretely, and the vast majority of astrological prediction today falls into this category … Horoscopes work this way
Astrological prediction, wielded gently and skillfully, can help to “spot the meaning and the movement [going forward] by looking to what is different,”
The downside to the immense meaning-making potential of astrology? It renders the practice vulnerable to misuse by uncareful types with dubious commitment to honorable behavior.
See also the placebo effect.
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The continued failure of the economy of small pleasures.
extrinsic incentives such as money or grades to learn [make it] harder to learn new related information when that incentive is gone … the learning outcome may be poorer due to the absence of reward
Actually, speaks a bit to the value of violence (or, rather, the lack thereof).
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The deterministic view of free will always seems to cause such furore, forgetting that whether free will exists or not, this world is so intractably complex that for almost all practical purposes, it doesn’t matter. See also the arguments againse free well. See also AI predicting your brain activity into the future..
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There is a thin line between sleep and wake. You know this if you have sleep paralysis or are a lucid dreamer.
In that spirit, here, we have surprisingly convincing evidence for communicating with REM (lucid dreaming) sleepers using various means, like facial twitches and eye movements.
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I hope you found something interesting.
You can find links to all my previous missives here.
Warm regards,