marginalium noun

the notes one makes in the margins.

A short note on

ai isn't changing anything yet (pdf)

May 1, 2025

source: bfi.uchicago.edu

by Dorian Minors

I did brain science at Cambridge. Now I'm a behaviour science professor. Read my shit.

AI isn’t changing anything yet (pdf):

AI chatbots have had no significant impact on earnings or recorded hours in any occupation, with confidence intervals ruling out effects larger than 1%. Modest productivity gains (average time savings of 2.8%), combined with weak wage pass-through, help explain these limited labor market effects. Our findings challenge narratives of imminent labor market transformation due to Generative AI.

But we knew that, because of the time-horizon.

If you don’t do the thinking, the thinking will be done for you.

Join the Armchair Collective. Once a month, a brain scientist’s musings on patterns of human behaviour, so you can choose the ones you keep.
More where this came from. Subscribe.